Warren County, KY

This county of 152,232 residents needs 7,775 more housing units over the next five years. Warren County is part of the Bowling Green-Warren County MPO.

Housing snapshot

Population
152,232 (2026)
Households
57,858
Median household income
$73,169 (2026)
Typical home value
$320,914
Owner-occupied
52%
Five-year housing need
7,775 units

Comparison to other Kentucky counties

Warren County: $73,169 Median income (2026 estimate)
<$24K >$104K
Warren County: 1.18 jobs to household ratio
<0.28 >1.61
Warren County: Permits since 2021 represent 14.9% of housing
<0% >11%
On this page

How affordable is this community?

The typical home in Warren County, KY is valued at $320,914, well above the Kentucky average of $202,900. With a median household income of $73,169 in Warren County, KY, housing costs are a modest stretch for the typical household.

This chart tracks whether housing prices are keeping pace with local incomes. The gap between what homes cost and what households can afford reveals affordability trends over time.

How is the population changing?

Warren County, KY has a population of roughly 140,918, growing steadily at 1.8% per year.

Population growth patterns reveal how communities are evolving. This chart shows historical population changes by age group and projects future trends based on demographic patterns.

How has employment changed over time?

Jobs by industry sector since 2012. Switch between local jobs — counted where the jobs are located — and resident jobs, counted where the workers live. On the local view the most recent year is a nowcast: it grows the latest local LODES job mix forward using recent county employment growth from QCEW and the BLS local employment series, so the newest point tracks today's economy instead of data that is roughly two years old.

How are households changing by income?

Warren County, KY is a growing community of roughly 57,858 households, with population increasing at 1.8% per year.

Understanding how households at different income levels are growing or declining helps identify which groups face the greatest housing pressure and where new housing is most needed.

Who lives here today?

In Warren County, KY, detached single-family accounts for 63% of the housing stock. Warren County, KY is roughly split between owners and renters, at 52% owner-occupied.

Households may have different structure type preferences depending on characteristics such as household size, income, employment, presence of children, age of individuals, and lifestyle choices. Understanding the housing stock in corresponding terms helps assess how well existing units align with existing households' ideals.

What does the housing stock look like?

The mix of housing types and ownership patterns shapes a community's character. This chart breaks down housing units by structure type and whether they're owner-occupied or rented.

How much new housing supply is needed?

To keep up with growth and fill current housing shortages, Warren County, KY needs 7,775 new units over the next 5 years.

5,746
Units needed to keep up with expected growth
Projected total household growth from 2026 to 2031.
9.9%
Projected household growth rate
Expected increase in total households from 57,858 in 2026 to 63,604 in 2031.
2,029
Units to address shortages in existing housing stock
Production needs to address vacancy rates and other factors.
452
Replacement housing
Effective annual loss rate is 1.5 per 1,000 units.
317
Ownership vacancy adjustment
Owner-occupied vacancy is 0.5%. This is below the minimum stable target of 1.5%.
769
Rental vacancy adjustment
Rental vacancy is 4.7%. This is below the minimum stable target of 7.4%.
491
Overcrowding adjustment
Overcrowding rate is 4.3%. This is above National avg. of 3.4%.
7,775
Total 5-year housing production need (2026-2031)
1,555
Annual production pace
Average units needed per year to meet 5-year need
13.0%
Total housing unit growth
Percent increase in housing stock over 5 years
2.6%
Annual housing unit growth
Average percent increase in housing stock per year

How do these communities compare to each other?